Publications

 

Highlights: The first journal article of IEA Task 36 is out:

R. Bessa, C. Möhrlen, V. Fundel, M. Siefert, J. Browell, S. Haglund El Gaidi, B.-M. Hodge, Ü. Cali, and G. Kariniotakis (2017)
Towards Improved Understanding of the Applicability of Uncertainty Forecasts in the Electric Power Industry
Energies 2017, 10(9), 1402; doi:10.3390/en10091402

Additional highlights: The special session at AMS Seattle in January 2017 (see below), several talks at the UVIG Forecasting Workshop 2017 in Atlanta, and the Mini-Symposium on Forecasting on the Wind Energy Science Conference in June 2017 with 25 talks over 1 1/2 days.
As a general rule, we put up an overview poster on the Task basically everywhere one of us goes - and if we're lucky, we get an opportunity to talk about it.

Main publications

J. Dobschinski, R. Bessak, P. Du, K. Geisler, S.E. Haupt, M. Lange, C. Möhrlen, D. Nakafuji and M. de la Torre Rodriguez (2017)
Uncertainty Forecasting in a Nutshell: Prediction Models Designed to Prevent Significant Errors
IEEE Power and Energy Magazine, vol. 15, no. 6, pp. 40-49, Nov.-Dec. 2017, doi: 10.1109/MPE.2017.2729100


G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw,
B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, C. Draxl and C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting for Wind Power
Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (DE), 26-29 June 2017.
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (WEPROG, Denmark), R. Bessa (INESC, Portugal), G. Giebel (DTU, Denmark), J. Jørgensen (WEPROG, Denmark),G. Giebel (DTU, Denmark)
Uncertainty Forecasting Practices for the Next Generation Power System
 
Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (DE), 26-29 June 2017.
[Paper] (pdf 695kB)  [Presentation]  (pdf 4.75MB) 
 
C. Möhrlen (WEPROG, Denmark), C. Collier (DNV GL, USA), J. Zack (AWS Truepower, USA), J. Lerner (Vaisala, USA)
Can Benchmarks and Trials Help Develop new Operational Tools for Balancing Wind Power?
Wind Integration Workshop, Berlin (DE), 26-29 June 2017.
[Paper] (pdf 375kB)  [Presentation]  (pdf 738kB) 

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, C. Draxl and C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting
Wind Energy Science Conference, Lyngby (DK), 26-29 June 2017.
[Presentation]

The UVIG Forecasting Workshop 2017

J. W. Zack (2017)
Wind and solar forecasting trials experience: do's and don'ts, Part 2
UVIG 2017 Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Collier (2017)
Why Do Forecast Trials Often Fail to Answer the Questions for which End-Users Need Answers: A Forecaster’s Point of View
UVIG Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

T. Maupin (2017)
Wind and Solar Forecasting Trials: Do’s and Don’ts, Part 1 Best practices
UVIG 2017 Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (2017)
Use of Probabilistic Forecasting Tools in Energy Trading
UVIG Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (2017)
Meteorological Data Collection: Results from Eirgrid's Met Mast and Alternatives Study
UVIG Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36: Wind Energy Forecasting
UVIG Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (2017)
UVIG Forecasting Tutorial: Applying Meteorology in Power System Planning and Operations
UVIG Forecasting Workshop, Atlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen, inputs from G. Nolan (2017)
Findings from the EIRGRID Met Mast and Alternatives Study, Session 1
UVIG Forecasting WorkshopAtlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

C. Möhrlen (2017)
Applications and Value of Uncertainty Forecasts
UVIG Forecasting WorkshopAtlanta (US), 21-22 June 2017
[Presentation]

 

 

We had a special session (part 1, part 2) on the AMS General Meeting 2017 in Seattle, including an overview talk:
G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, P. Pinson, B-M. Hodge, G. Kariniotakis, J. Madsen, and C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36 on Wind Power Forecasting and Future Research Issues
Eighth Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy, part of the 97th American Meteorological Society General Meeting, Seattle (US), 23 - 26 January, 2017
[Presentation] - [Narration]

C. Möhrlen, R.J. Bessa, M. Barthod, G. Goretti and M. Siefert (2016)
Use of Forecast Uncertainties in the Power Sector: State of the Art of Business Practices
15th Int. Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Farms, Vienna (AT), 15 - 17 November, 2016. 
[Paper] - [Presentation]


C. Möhrlen (2016)
Causes of wind power forecast uncertainty and how we can learn to deal with it
IEA Wind Task 36 Workshop, Barcelona, 9. Juni 2016
[Presentation] 


C. Möhrlen (2016)
Preliminary results from the first interviews on the state-of-the-art use og uncertainties in the power industry
IEA Wind Task 36 Workshop, Barcelona, 9. Juni 2016
[Presentation]


C. Möhrlen, G. Giebel and G. Kariniotakis (2016)
Current use and gaps in forecasting - a discussion starter
IEA Wind Task 36 Workshop, Barcelona, 9. Juni 2016
[Presentation]

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, P. Pinson, B-M. Hodge, G. Kariniotakis, J. Madsen, and C. Möhrlen (2016)
Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues
TORQUE 2016: The Science of Making Torque from Wind Conference, München, 5-7 Oktober, 2016 
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 753 (2016) 032042, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042.
[Paper] - [Presentation]

 

The overview poster

 

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, C. Draxl and C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting
Offshore Wind Energy, London (UK), 6-8 June 2017
[Poster]

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, C. Draxl and C. Möhrlen (2017)
IEA Wind Task 36 Forecasting
European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna (AT), 23-28 April 2017
[Poster]

G. Giebel, J. Cline, H. Frank, W. Shaw, B-M. Hodge, P. Pinson, J. Messner, G. Kariniotakis, and C. Draxl (2016)
IEA Wind Task 36 on Wind Power Forecasting
WindEurope Summit, Hamburg (DE), 27-29 September 2016
[Poster]

http://www.ieawindforecasting.dk/publications
25 JUNE 2018